Petroleum Marketing & Price Analysis

Kent Group Ltd are petroleum market experts. With an extensive current and historical price database at our disposal, we have the resources, experience, and industry knowledge to deliver everything from ad hoc surveys to multifaceted industry research and consulting without the time and cost of climbing the learning curve.

Project Portfolio

Canadian Retail Petroleum Industry Overview

A Canadian government agency contracted us to provide a comprehensive overview of the Canadian retail petroleum industry. Our study included an in-depth view in the areas of upstream; petroleum refining; supply logistics; wholesale marketing; retail marketing; gasoline pricing; and price regulation. Our report provided our client a relatively concise overview of an industry composed of several layers of infrastructure, sometimes complex relationships among and within the stakeholder organizations, and in particular, characterized by limited public understanding of the infrastructure and competitive mechanisms that affect prices and profits.

Canadian Petroleum Markets Study

For a consortium of clients which included two federal government departments and the Canadian Petroleum Products Institute, we have released a major industry study of competitiveness in the Canadian Petroleum Retail industry. Entitled the “Canadian Petroleum Markets Study”, this 105-page document still serves as an oft-cited reference for understanding the petroleum marketing industry in general, and competitiveness issues in particular. The study provided some unique insights into the state of competitiveness and price differentiation in the Canadian petroleum marketing industry, one of the most competitive markets in the industrialized world. A copy of this study can be found by clicking “Canadian Petroleum Markets Study“.

New Brunswick Distillate Price Forecast

A natural gas marketer engaged us to develop a model to forecast wholesale and retail distillate prices in New Brunswick to be used in the determination of market-based natural gas prices. We analysed and interpreted historical price data to provide a recommended formula to determine heating oil prices for each of six customer segments. Our recommendations formed an integral component of the marketer’s application for a rate change to the New Brunswick provincial regulator. We successfully defended our recommendations before the New Brunswick Public Utilities Board.

British Columbia Diesel Fuel Price Analysis

A Canadian mining company enlisted us to provide a detailed analysis of diesel fuel prices in British Columbia. Our analysis described and quantified the key constituent price components of diesel fuel and the factors that might affect these components in the future. Our study applied these factors to present a quantitative estimate of future diesel fuel taxes, refining and marketing margins in British Columbia for the years 2009 to 2019.

Gasoline Market Economics in Nova Scotia

For the Province of Nova Scotia, and in partnership with another consultant, we conducted a comprehensive review of the Nova Scotia retail fuel industry. We documented and analyzed the infrastructure trends in that province, and we identified and assessed the regulatory options for addressing the principal stakeholder issues. We participated in interviews with a variety of industry stakeholders, and we collected, presented, and analyzed a number of price and margin data related to pump prices.

Brief to Commons Committee

We were engaged to provide a brief to the House of Commons in regards to concerns that the oil industry is not sufficiently “transparent” on the matter of pump prices. Our expert testimony at the Commons Standing Committee was able to provide some insights and an increased understanding of fuel prices in Canada.

Retail Price Projections

An automobile manufacturing company requested us to provide retail gasoline price projections to 2020. Our report also included detailed notes on our price projections broken down to each component: crude prices, margins and tax projections.

Report on the Current Relationship between Retail Prices and Crude Prices

A national industry association enlisted us to provide them insight into the nature of the relationship between crude and retail gasoline prices. Our report provided a deeper understanding of the component prices of gasoline and the factors affecting each.

Retail Petroleum Market Overview

A provincial government branch contracted us to provide financial advisory services in connection with fuel economics. Our report provided a deep understanding of the competition factors involved in the gas retailing business, types of ownership and operating structures, key components and drivers of profitability at retail fuel sites.

Short-Term Outlook for Gasoline and Diesel Costs

A Canadian municipality enlisted us to assist annually with forecasting wholesale gasoline and diesel prices including low-range, high-range and “best estimate” predictions with explanatory analysis of our estimates to assist the municipality in the forecasting operating budget expenditures.